USDA and Cash Hog – April Lean Hog Correlation – 11/22/2023
USDA prepares farm level cash hog price forecasts each month. The accompanying scatter studies display the winter early spring April lean hog futures price range as a function of the winter-spring farm level cash hog value. The red point marked USDA is the USDA’s November 2023 price forecast. $60, and the close for April lean hogs on 11/21/23 (@$79).
Note that April lean hogs (@ $79 per Cwt.) are trading near the midpoint expected based on USDA’s November farm level cash hog price projection ($60 per Cwt. for the January 2024/June 2024 average)..USDA will adjust the price forecasts as the prospective US pork supply/demand outlook changes each month.