US Farmers to Reduce Soybean Planted Area
US soybean area will be 4% smaller this season based on results of the March Prospective planting survey. We have worked through the production table with a bottom line of a 2025 US soybean crop of 4.3 billion bushels versus 4.4 billion in 2024.
Over the last 60 years the June soybean acreage estimate and the March survey has had a correlation of 98% and a standard error of 1.9 million acres. Most of the variation from March to June is due to weather during planting season.
| US Soybean Production (Million Bushels, acres (thousands) | |||||
| ) | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Percent |
| Planted | 87,450 | 83,600 | 87,050 | 83,500 | -4% |
| Harvested | 86,336 | 82,271 | 86,050 | 82665 | -4% |
| % | 98.7% | 98.4% | 98.9% | 99.0% | 0% |
| Production | 4,276 | 4,162 | 4,366 | 4,315 | -1% |
| Yielld | 49.5 | 50.6 | 50.7 | 52.2 | 3% |
| Crop Index** | 57 | 59 | 65 | 62 | |
| ** Late Season Good + Excellent 2025 assumption is 1985-2024 average. | |||||
| 2025 Based on data known in late March. | |||||
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