This month the USDA forecast an increase in new crop (2024/2025) US soybean carryout stocks. For the next two months the key to possible changes in the soybean supply/usage balance is weather and the impact on yield. This month USDA Read more…
USDA has forecast another increase in US wheat carryout stocks in the 2024/25 crop year. Increased production and just a modest increase in US wheat exports are key variables in the new crop US wheat supply/usage balance. US Wheat Supply/Usage Read more…
USDA expects pork production to increase over the next eighteen months. US Pork exports are also expected to expand, to the best level since China imported US pork in 2021 and 2022. USDA’s pork supply/demand balance sheet would project domestic Read more…
USDA made only modest changes in the US soybean supply/usage forecasts this month’s WASDE report. The old crop US soybean crush estimate was reduced by 10 million bushels which carried through to a 10 million bushel increase in old Read more…
The June 2024 World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report brought some surprising news for the beef industry. Let’s break down the key points regarding beef supply, demand, and prices: Supply: The USDA US beef production for 2024 estimate Read more…
The latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report from the USDA, released in June 2024, paints a generally positive picture for the U.S. corn industry. Here are some key takeaways: Production: The USDA maintained its forecast for “new Read more…
Export demand for corn and sorghum has been a major force supporting a modest rally in old crop corn futures prices since the late winter. China has been a major swing factor increasing US sorghum purchases at the expense of Read more…
The US hog herd appears to have increased modestly over the past year. We estimate the inventory on June 1, 2024 at 74.2 million head, one percent larger than on the same date in 2023. Calculating the June hog herd Read more…
The winter wheat crop condition index has slipped slightly since the May 2024 US winter wheat production estimate was published by USDA, but at 48% good or excellent, remains well ahead of the indices at the time in 2022 and Read more…
The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) released its latest Cattle on Feed report on May 24, 2024, offering insights into trends in cattle feeding and marketing. Here’s a quick look at some key takeaways: Inventory down from last year: Read more…
The USDA’s WASDE report provides a slightly bearish outlook for U.S. wheat in the 2024/25 marketing year. Here are the key takeaways: Larger Supplies: Overall wheat supplies are projected to be up 6% from 2023/24 due to larger beginning stocks Read more…
The USDA’s May 10th report projected an increase in soybean supplies and ending stocks for the 2024/25 marketing year. This is due to both higher expected production and larger beginning stocks. Despite a projected rise in domestic soybean crushing, stockpiles Read more…
USDA has projected the US corn crop harvested this autumn at 14.87 billion bushels compared to forecasted 2024/25 crop year usage of 14.80 billion bushels. Except for planted US corn acreage, which is based on the March Prospective Planting report, USDA’s Read more…
USDA has estimated a 3% increase in US pork production in 2024 an additional 1% increase in 2025. US pork exports are expected to increase sharply in both 2024 and 2025 leaving domestic per capita pork supplies up just 1% Read more…
USDA has forecast a 1% drop in US beef production in 2024 and an additional 3% decline in 2025. The need to restock the beef herd by holding back heifers for herd replacement accounts for the expected decline in beef Read more…
Calculated US corn stocks on June 1, 2024 are estimated by Us at 4.8 billion bushels compared to 4.1 billion bushels one year earlier. The ratio of June 1 corn stocks to September 2024 through May 2024 usage is 41% Read more…
The USDA has scheduled the first winter wheat production estimate for the 2024 season for May 10, 2024. This week USDA rated the 2024 winter crop at 49% good or excellent compared to ratings in the mid 20 percent range Read more…
December soybean meal is trading on the low side of livestock prices based on the last 50 years of historical data. We have charted the June/August price range for December soybean meal divided by the livestock price index published by Read more…
USDA has scheduled the first WASDE report of the season that will include a prospective US corn supply/usage balance for the 2024/2025 crop year. The only survey backed data in the May report is the planted area estimate taken from Read more…
USDA reported a sharp drop in cattle feedlot activity in March 2024. Net feeder cattle placements declined 13% on a year over year basis. March finished cattle marketing declined 14%. The inventory of cattle on feed April 1, 2024 was Read more…