March US Soybean Stocks

Published by David Tedrow on

We estimate March 1 US soybean stocks at 1.95 billion bushels compared to 1.85 billion bushels a year earlier. The US soybean crush level ran at a record pace this winter  helped by strong soybean meal export demand. Soybean exports exceeded the previous year but will drop off sharply this spring and summer owing to heavy competition from a huge South America soybean crop.

US Soybean Balance (December February) (Million Bushels)
2023 2024 2025
Dec 1 3,021 3,001 3,100
Imports 3 2.5 6
Crush 555 593 630
Exports 805 587 600
Residual -23 -21.4 -70
Mar 1 1,687 1,845 1,946
2025 Our estimate

 

Our March 1 soybean stocks estimate is not as burdensome as in some recent years but plenty considering the expected weak US export demand during the second half of the US crop year (March through August).

The March Grain Stocks report is scheduled for release March 31, 2025.

 


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