March Survey US Soybean Planted Area – 02/16/2023

Published by David Tedrow on

Historically, soybean prices relative to corn returns, combined with past acreage trends. has accounted for 93% of the variation in the March soybean planted area survey forecast. Plugging in this year’s soybean and corn values results in a 88.9 million acre planted area forecast  compared to the March survey soybean planted area 2022 forecast of 91 million acres. We have presented past soybean data with a 2023 trend forecast   in the accompanying table. 

US Soybean Data Million Busshels/Acres
2020 2021 2022 2023 Proj.
Plant March 83,510 87,600 90,955 88,900
Plant Annual 83,354 87,195 87,450 88,900
Harvest 82,603 86,332 86,336 87,950
% Harvest 99.1% 99.0% 98.7% 98.9%
Yield Bu/Ac 51.0 51.7 49.5 50.5
Production 4,216 4,465 4,276 4,441
2023 Forecast Based on Trend, USDA data prior to 2023

 

The soybean/corn price ratio has averaged slightly below the 1973 – 2022 average to date this season.